Guide · C40

Build a marketing-plan reforecast

Question addressed

How can forecasts be revised without rewriting history?

Direct answer

A reforecast preserves the initial plan, incorporates actuals, updates assumptions, budget, workload, milestones, results and risks, and records every decision.

Decision supported

01Approve a new forecast and its review conditions.

02The rule, the evidence and the next review date stay visible.

How to use this

Move from the question to the deliverable.

01Starting point

How can forecasts be revised without rewriting history?

02Decision prepared

Approve a new forecast and its review conditions.

03Deliverable to use

Reforecast template

Worked example · SQ-40

Revise the forecast without erasing the original plan

The reforecast keeps three references: original plan, actual to date and latest estimate. Every variance is linked to a cause and a decision.

Working context

Costed case at the end of June for an annual pipeline plan.

  1. 01Keep

    Freeze the original plan and the approved versions.

  2. 02Incorporate

    Add the actual to date at constant scope.

  3. 03Re-estimate

    Update the remaining work according to assumptions and capacity.

  4. 04Decide

    Approve the new estimate and its conditions.

Original element

Annual pipeline reforecast from €6.0m to €5.35m

The first-half actual is kept; the reduction bears on the latest estimate for the second half.

Calculation methodLatest estimate = actual to date + estimate of work remaining
PeriodInitial planActualRemaining estimateLatest estimateVariance
H1€2.6m€2.35m€2.35m−€0.25m
H2€3.4m€3.00m€3.00m−€0.40m
Year€6.0m€2.35m€3.00m€5.35m−€0.65m
Budget€520k€248k€237k€485k−€35k
Capacity1,420 d690 d610 d1,300 d−120 d
CSV · plan, actuals, estimateDownload the reforecast template
Decision interpretation

01The forecast falls by €650k; €250k is already delivered short and €400k concerns the remaining work.

02The reduction of 120 days explains part of the second-half adjustment.

03The original plan stays visible so that forecast quality and past decisions can be measured.

Fictitious data. A reforecast is not a new target; any change of objective requires a separate decision.

Coherence controls

Minimum conditions before validation.

01Constant scope

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

02Documented cause

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

03Assigned decision

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

04History kept

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

Usable deliverable

Output produced

Reforecast template

Explore the decision further with an interactive control, or start from a structured template to produce your deliverable.