Control · C62

Compare planned and actual marketing performance

Question addressed

Does the observed variance come from volume, schedule, cost, quality or scope?

Direct answer

An indexed series separates pace variances from economic variances and flags the first month in which drift becomes material.

Decision supported

01Tolerate, correct, rephase or reforecast depending on the nature and persistence of the variance.

02The rule, the evidence and the next review date stay visible.

How to use this

Move from the question to the deliverable.

01Starting point

Does the observed variance come from volume, schedule, cost, quality or scope?

02Decision prepared

Tolerate, correct, rephase or reforecast depending on the nature and persistence of the variance.

03Deliverable to use

Planned–actual comparison

Original chart · SQ-62

Spot the month when a variance becomes a drift

A monthly variance can be noise. An indexed series shows its persistence and avoids confusing a pace delay with an economic loss.

Working context

Fictitious pipeline planned and delivered over six months, indexed on the monthly plan set at 100.

  1. 01Align

    Compare the same cohorts, periods and value conventions.

  2. 02Index

    Express the actual as a percentage of the plan to read the trend.

  3. 03Qualify

    Separate volume, conversion, cost, timing and change of scope.

  4. 04Trigger

    Act after two months below 90 or one month below 80.

Original element

Actual / plan index over six months

The drift becomes material in May: two consecutive months fall below the threshold of 90.

Calculation methodMonthly index = actual pipeline ÷ planned pipeline × 100
Jan.
101On plan
Feb.
98Tolerable variance
Mar.
95Volume to correct
Apr.
91Threshold approached
May
84Drift confirmed
Jun.
78Reallocation required
MonthPlannedActualIndexDominant causeAction
January€420k€424k101PaceNone
February€450k€441k98Minor delayMonitor
March€480k€456k95VolumeCorrect acquisition
April€520k€473k91ConversionTest qualification
May€560k€470k84Persistent conversionReforecast
June€600k€468k78Enterprise segmentReallocate
Decision interpretation

01March does not yet trigger a reforecast: the cause is actionable and the index stays at 95.

02May confirms a conversion drift; the annual plan is no longer the best forecast available.

03June calls for a reallocation away from the enterprise segment and a new documented target.

Fictitious series. The thresholds of 90 and 80 are illustrative steering rules.

Coherence controls

Minimum conditions before validation.

01Constant scope

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

02Documented cause

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

03Assigned decision

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

04History kept

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

Usable deliverable

Output produced

Planned–actual comparison

Explore the decision further with an interactive control, or start from a structured template to produce your deliverable.