Use case · C80

Calculate an initiative’s opportunity cost

Question addressed

What value is given up when two initiatives draw on the same scarce capacity?

Direct answer

Opportunity cost adds up the contribution of the best alternative given up, the cost of delay and the value of the options made unavailable.

Decision supported

01Fund now, rephase, reduce scope or preserve capacity for a superior option.

02The rule, the evidence and the next review date stay visible.

How to use this

Move from the question to the deliverable.

01Starting point

What value is given up when two initiatives draw on the same scarce capacity?

02Decision prepared

Fund now, rephase, reduce scope or preserve capacity for a superior option.

03Deliverable to use

Worked scarce-capacity example

Worked example · SQ-80

Make the best abandoned option visible

The cost of an initiative is not limited to its invoice. When it consumes a scarce skill, it delays or prevents the alternative option that would have created the most value.

Working context

Fictitious case: 40 days of marketing ops available and four competing initiatives in the second quarter.

  1. 01Identify the bottleneck

    Measure the non-substitutable resource that prevents simultaneous execution.

  2. 02Value the options

    Estimate adjusted contribution, cost of delay and recoverable value.

  3. 03Compare

    Calculate, for each choice, the best alternative made impossible.

  4. 04Configure

    Split or rephase when a smaller version preserves a superior option.

Original element

The dominant combination avoids €110k of regret against the full CRM migration

Each option includes its own cost of delay only once. Regret then compares its net value with the best other feasible option.

Calculation methodNet value = adjusted value − cost of delay; regret = max(0, best alternative net value − selected net value)
OptionOps daysAdjusted valueCost of delayNet valueBest alternativeRegret
Full CRM migration38 days€210k€96k€114kMinimum CRM + ABM · €224k€110k
ABM + onboarding36 days€188k€18k€170kMinimum CRM + ABM · €224k€54k
Minimum CRM + ABM39 days€236k€12k€224kABM + onboarding · €170k€0k
Onboarding only18 days€92k€24k€68kMinimum CRM + ABM · €224k€156k
Decision interpretation

01The full migration is not a priority: its net value of €114k creates €110k of regret against the best feasible option.

02The minimal CRM version frees enough capacity for ABM and maximises net value at €224k.

03For this winning choice, the best abandoned option is worth €170k: that is its opportunity cost, while its relative regret is nil.

04The calculation requires revisiting the decision if the ABM window or the substitutability of ops days changes.

Fictitious case. Opportunity cost depends on the options that can actually be executed, not on a theoretical list of projects.

Coherence controls

Minimum conditions before validation.

01Non-redundant criteria

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

02Full cost

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

03Qualified evidence

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

04Sensitivity tested

The status, the evidence and the owner must be available for review.

Usable deliverable

Output produced

Worked scarce-capacity example

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